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Bitcoin Sinks to a Four-Month Low Amid Concerns Over US Economy
(Bloomberg) -- Cryptocurrency prices extended their slide, sending Bitcoin to the lowest level since November, as escalating tariff-war tensions spurred concern about the economy that offset a wave of pro-crypto announcements from President Donald Trump last week.
Risk assets like crypto are under pressure amid anxiety that Trump’s tariffs and government firings will torpedo growth in the world’s largest economy. US equities slid and Treasuries rallied as investors sought a refuge.
“While Trump’s strategic crypto reserve announcement initially drove optimism, the rally quickly unraveled amid aggressive selling linked to worsening macro conditions,” wrote Nikolay Karpenko, director at B2C2.
Bitcoin slid as much as 6.8% to $77,416, its lowest since Nov. 10. Solana, Cardano and XRP, all tokens that Trump had mentioned as possible candidates for a digital-asset stockpile but were not cited in Trump’s executive order, each slumped even more. Crypto-linked stocks slid, with Coinbase Global Inc. dropping 18% for its biggest decline since July 2022 and Michael Saylor’s levered Bitcoin proxy Strategy losing 17%.
Trump’s crypto-friendly stance, including an order to create a US Bitcoin reserve and a separate stockpile of other tokens, along with a high-profile summit with industry executives in Washington on Friday, has done little to lift market sentiment. While the administration pledged to capitalize the reserve with crypto seized in legal proceedings, the absence of fresh capital commitments disappointed investors.
“The market perceived the summit as underwhelming and top cryptocurrencies dropped after it was revealed that the widely anticipated crypto reserve would only hold existing government holdings,” said Jeff Mei, chief operating officer at crypto exchange BTSE.
The US currently owns about $17 billion worth of Bitcoin and about $400 million worth of several other tokens, largely attributable to asset forfeitures related to civil and criminal cases.
Investors are rationally more bullish on crypto given recent developments like the reduced US Securities and Exchange Commission enforcement, but other factors are more nuanced or even negative, said Ari Paul, co-founder of BlockTower Capital.
“The apparent capricious favoritism in the administration’s selection of assets for the strategic reserve — especially after the launching of Trump and Melania coins — is a strong deterrent to investors,” Paul said in a message. “It’s created the impression that the Trump administration is engaged in lobbying based selection and promotion of ‘insider’ assets, and that the cryptocurrency market today is largely a short-term trading casino,” he added.
Since February, investors have withdrawn a net $4.4 billion from the group of US Bitcoin ETFs, which played a key role in the token’s record run last year. The largest cryptoasset is currently down about 28% from its record high of $109,241 and the broader crypto market has lost over $1 trillion in market capitalization from its peak, according to CoinGecko.
“Bitcoin could very well drop to the $70,000-$80,000 range in the coming weeks. Only when this tariff war ends and the Fed resumes cutting rates will top cryptocurrencies resume trending towards previous all-time highs,” Mei added.