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Bonds Show Fear Tariffs Will Deliver Inflation, Growth Shocks

(Bloomberg) -- The US bond market is flashing a warning to President Donald Trump that unleashing tariffs on top trading partners risks fueling inflation and slowing the nation’s economic growth.Most Read from BloombergNew York’s First ‘Passive House’ School Is a Model of Downtown DensityState Farm Seeks Emergency California Rate Hike After LA FiresWhen French Communists Went on a Brutalist Building BoomTrump Paves the Way to Deputize Local Police on ImmigrationHistoric London Elevator Faces Las

Brazil inflation to ease further this year, Lula tells Congress

Inflation in Brazil is expected to ease further this year and near the mid-point of the central bank's 3% target by mid-2026, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said in a written message to Congress on Monday. The slowdown in prices will benefit from the increase in the interest rate differential between Brazil and other economies, which should help with exchange-rate dynamics, according to the document. Last week, Brazil's central bank hiked interest rates by 100 basis points and signaled another increase in March.

Oil Edges Higher as Delayed Mexico Tariffs Ease Supply Concerns

(Bloomberg) -- Oil edged higher after a volatile session as US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Mexico were delayed by a month and investors assessed the levies’ potential to slow global economic growth, undercutting concerns about short-term supply constraints.Most Read from BloombergNew York’s First ‘Passive House’ School Is a Model of Downtown DensityState Farm Seeks Emergency California Rate Hike After LA FiresWhen French Communists Went on a Brutalist Building BoomTrump Paves the Way to

US banks say demand for business loans rose in Q4 -Fed survey

The net share of banks reporting stronger demand for commercial and industrial loans from large and medium-sized businesses rose to 9.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024, and from small firms to 3.4%. The results suggest the Fed's 100 basis points of interest rate cuts last year may have helped encourage business borrowing, even as the effect on demand for other kinds of loans appeared limited.

Bond Dealers Lock Horns Over Inflation-Protected Bond Supply

(Bloomberg) -- A small coterie of Wall Street dealers say it’s time for the US Treasury to resume increasing the size of its 30-year inflation-protected bond auctions.Most Read from BloombergNew York’s First ‘Passive House’ School Is a Model of Downtown DensityState Farm Seeks Emergency California Rate Hike After LA FiresWhen French Communists Went on a Brutalist Building BoomTrump Paves the Way to Deputize Local Police on ImmigrationHistoric London Elevator Faces Last Stop in Labour’s Housing P

Fed’s Bostic Says It Might Be a While Before Next Rate Cut

(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he wants to wait “a while” before cutting interest rates again following last year’s reductions amid uncertainty over where the US economy is headed in 2025.Most Read from BloombergNew York’s First ‘Passive House’ School Is a Model of Downtown DensityState Farm Seeks Emergency California Rate Hike After LA FiresWhen French Communists Went on a Brutalist Building BoomTrump Paves the Way to Deputize Local Police on Immigr

OPEC+ sticks to oil policy, ditches US government data

LONDON (Reuters) -OPEC+ agreed to stick to its policy of gradually raising oil output from April on Monday and removed the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration from the sources used to monitor its production and adherence to supply pacts. OPEC+ and Donald Trump clashed repeatedly during his first administration in 2016-2020 when the U.S. President demanded it raise production to compensate for the drop in Iranian supply that resulted from U.S. sanctions. Since returning to office in January, Trump has already called on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to bring down prices, saying elevated prices have helped Russia continue the war in Ukraine.