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Fed's Barkin: Extensive uncertainty could hit demand, policy in good place awaiting more clarity

The Federal Reserve's current "moderately restrictive" monetary policy is right for an environment with an abnormal amount of uncertainty and fast changes taking place in U.S. government policy, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said on Thursday. Barkin, in prepared remarks for an economics lecture at Washington and Lee University, did not directly address the potential fallout from the 25% auto tariffs announced on Wednesday by President Donald Trump. But like other Fed officials of late, Barkin was at least entertaining the idea that the suite of tariffs being rolled out by Trump could lead to higher-than-expected inflation, though the impact of that could also be offset by tax and regulatory policies still to come.

Oil Edges Up as US Stockpile Decline Overshadows Wider Trade War

(Bloomberg) -- Oil edged higher as signs of tighter near-term supply-and-demand balances overshadowed an intensifying global trade war that threatens to crimp global energy consumption. Most Read from BloombergWhy Did the Government Declare War on My Adorable Tiny Truck?How SUVs Are Making Traffic WorseGold-Rush Fever Returns to Historic New Zealand Mining TownTrump Slashed International Aid. Geneva Is Feeling the Impact.These US Bridges Face High Risk of Catastrophic Ship StrikesWest Texas Inte

CBO sees US deficits rising over 30 years, economic growth slowing

The U.S. Congressional Budget Office on Thursday projected significant increases in federal budget deficits and debt over the next 30 years, in part due to rapidly rising interest costs, as it sketched out sluggish economic growth and a shrinking workforce. The U.S. public debt meanwhile is seen rising alarmingly, to 156% of GDP in 2055 from 100% in 2025. As the non-partisan budget analyst for Congress, the CBO bases its projections on current law, which could change significantly in the short-term.

US economic growth to slow in the next 30 years, fueled by debt and declining birth rates, CBO says

Weak population gains and increased government spending will result in slower overall economic growth over the next 30 years, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Thursday. The CBO’s latest long-term budget and economic outlook report — for a timeframe that spans 2025 to 2055 — projects publicly held debt to reach 156% of gross domestic product, or GDP, in 2055. The mix of slower population growth and unfettered spending will also result in weaker economic growth over the next three decades than what the CBO projected last year.

Trump's auto tariffs complicate Fed's deliberations on rates

(Reuters) -President Donald Trump's permanent 25% tariff on imported autos has expanded the global trade war, feeding expectations for higher prices for cars and other products, but doing little to settle the debate about how policies of his two-month-old administration will affect the U.S. economy. With more tariff announcements looming next week, Federal Reserve policymakers remain in a holding pattern on interest rates. With surveys showing signs of economic trepidation and a drop in confidence, central bankers are watching to see if this spills into "hard" data like the still-low unemployment rate.

Fed Backstop Fears Could Threaten Dollar, Deutsche Bank Says

(Bloomberg) -- The withdrawal of a time-tested liquidity backstop offered by the Federal Reserve would represent the greatest risk to the dollar’s status as a reserve currency since the end of World War II, according to Deutsche Bank.Most Read from BloombergWhy Did the Government Declare War on My Adorable Tiny Truck?How SUVs Are Making Traffic WorseTrump Slashed International Aid. Geneva Is Feeling the Impact.These US Bridges Face High Risk of Catastrophic Ship StrikesAffordable Housing Develop