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Gold Heads for Weekly Drop as Traders Weigh Trump, Fed Outlook

(Bloomberg) -- Gold fell at the end of a volatile week’s trading, as investors assessed the path ahead for US rates and the implications of Donald Trump’s election victory.Most Read from BloombergThe Leaf Blowers Will Not Go QuietlyArizona Elections Signal Robust Immigration Enforcement Under TrumpScoring an Architectural Breakthrough in Denver’s RiNo DistrictKey Ballot Initiatives and Local Races Highlight Views on Abortion, ImmigrationBullion fell by as much as 1% Friday, on track for its bigg

Wall Street Fed Watchers Dial Back 2025 Rate-Cut Expectations

(Bloomberg) -- Economists and strategists across Wall Street have dialed back their expectations for US interest-rate cuts next year based on this week’s presidential election of Donald Trump and comments by Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell.Most Read from BloombergThe Leaf Blowers Will Not Go QuietlyArizona Elections Signal Robust Immigration Enforcement Under TrumpScoring an Architectural Breakthrough in Denver’s RiNo DistrictKey Ballot Initiatives and Local Races Highlight Views on Abortion,

Fed's Logan calls for 'gradual' rate cuts, says 'should not rush'

"Following last month’s half-percentage-point cut in the fed funds rate, a more gradual path back to a normal policy stance will likely be appropriate from here to best balance the risks to our dual-mandate goals," Logan said in her first public remarks since the Fed reduced its policy rate to the 4.75%-5.00% range three weeks ago. In prepared remarks to an energy conference hosted by the Greater Houston Partnership, Logan ran through a litany of reasons to go slow, even as she also noted that inflation progress has been broad-based and the labor market has cooled. "I continue to see a meaningful risk that inflation could get stuck above our 2% goal," she said, noting the potential for stronger-than-expected consumer spending or economic growth; "unwarranted" further easing in financial conditions; and the possibility that the level of borrowing costs that neither presses down or up on economic growth - the "neutral rate" - is higher than it was before the pandemic.

Germany's economy is on track to shrink for a second straight year

Germany's government said Wednesday that the country's economy, Europe's biggest, is on track to shrink for a second consecutive year — underlining the unpopular administration's troubles as it heads into a difficult election year. The new forecast that gross domestic product will shrink by 0.2% this year compares with the government's prediction in April of 0.3% growth and brings it into line with economists, who also have forecast a slight contraction. The German economy shrank by 0.3% in 2023.

Pimco Says Buy Five-Year Bonds as Fed Sticks the Soft Landing

(Bloomberg) -- Investors who expect central banks in industrialized nations to successfully tap the brakes on growth while skirting downturns would do well to target five-year bonds, according to Pacific Investment Management Co.Most Read from BloombergUrban Heat Stress Is Another Disparity in the World’s Most Unequal NationFrom Cleveland to Chicago, NFL Teams Dream of Domed StadiumsChicago’s $1 Billion Budget Hole Exacerbated by School TurmoilSingapore Ends 181 Years of Horse Racing to Make Way

Brazil’s Inflation Accelerates After Electricity Prices Surge

(Bloomberg) -- Brazil’s annual inflation sped up roughly in line with estimates in September after the nation’s energy regulator hiked electricity costs in response to the worst drought on record.Most Read from BloombergUrban Heat Stress Is Another Disparity in the World’s Most Unequal NationFrom Cleveland to Chicago, NFL Teams Dream of Domed StadiumsChicago’s $1 Billion Budget Hole Exacerbated by School TurmoilSingapore Ends 181 Years of Horse Racing to Make Way for HomesShould Evictions Be Ban