Fed's Goolsbee says policy uncertainty led to his shift on rate-cut path
"The uncertainty about policy makes it particularly hard to make estimates of what the neutral rate is and what the inflation rate is in particular," Goolsbee told CNBC. With the policy rate well above its eventual stopping point of around 3%, Goolsbee said, dropping inflation means the Fed will need to bring it down "a fair bit" over the next 12 to 18 months. Projections released this week after the Fed cut its policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 4.25%-4.50% range show most U.S. central bankers see just 50 basis points of cuts next year.