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Analysis-For markets, German fiscal splurge blurs ECB outlook

A tectonic shift in German fiscal policy has compounded uncertainty for traders trying to bet on how fast the European Central Bank will cut rates for the rest of the year, with a change to the bank's guidance on Thursday reinforcing that. The ECB cut rates by 25 basis points to 2.50% in its sixth move since last June. That supported traders, who had already reduced bets on ECB rate cuts after a deal from Germany's next coalition partners on Tuesday to create a 500 billion euro ($541.40 billion) infrastructure fund and overhaul borrowing restrictions, partly to boost defence spending.